Early this year, I dropped my 8+ years old iPhone 6 at the swimming pool change room, smashing its screen. Since I wanted an iPhone with USB-C, and there’s rumor that the 15th generation will have it, I decided to hold it till its 9th birthday and replace the shattered screen.
There were two options:
Service at Apple Store, taking a few hours, and costing $129.
Get an aftermarket screen kit, do it myself, for $60.
Given that my iPhone 6 has reached its End of Life, and I have been curious about the DIY fix experience for an iPhone, I order the screen repair kit from iFixit.
After spending 10 hours to get everything right, I’d recommend sending your phone to Apple if your phone needs the same love.
In late October 2021, Facebook changed its name to Meta. And announced the ambitious Metaverse project in the Connect 2021 keynote. I was excited to see a tech giant pledged to invest heavily into an unknown realm and bet its future on it. As a used-to-be industrial design practitioner who has fluent 3D skills, I even called my classmate at UW who had a passion for AR/VR saying that maybe we can do something together—like become developers for the Metaverse.
However, after spending some time thinking about it. I became cautious and eventually pessimistic about the Metaverse. The rationales were based on my experience working on software + hardware projects as a Product Manager & Designer for 7+ years.
I wanted to write this post as early as November 2021. But as I was busy working on the End-of-Year campaigns and product planning works for my full-time job, plus my Christmas road trip to Oregon, I procrastinated until now.
TL; DR & My Opinions
Zuckerberg hopes the Metaverse to be the successor to the mobile internet.
My opinion: While theoretically useful and cool, some scientific & cognition challenges can block the wide adoption of the tech. The reception of the solution by the mainstream population will decide if Metaverse can live up to the hype.
My opinion: I believe the adoption would be better in the professional market vs. the consumer one.
My opinion: Allowing people without VR headsets to engage in the Metaverse will lower the entrance barrier. With a boosting Metaverse population, the industry is more likely to invest more resources and build the ecosystem together.
If you have not watched the Connect 2021, no worries. Here are the “whys”, “hows”, and “whats” of the Metaverse according to Zuckerberg:
From computers to cellphones with a camera, the Internet has a trend of being visual.
From image to video, the medium is getting more immersive.
Meta wants to build a successor of the mobile Internet.
Regarding digital wellbeing, for Metaverse, it’s not making people spend more time on the screen, it’s to make the time spent more vivid.
Zuckerberg hopes one billion people can enter the Metaverse in the next decade.
Core concepts of the Metaverse are feeling of presence, avatar, home space, teleporting, interoperability, privacy & safety, virtual goods, natural interface.
I rarely comment on social news or politics, but I just heard California is reopening its economy—people start gathering and dining in restaurants—while it keeps popping up 3K more COVID patients each day. I’m deeply concerned about the situation in the coming cold weather.
Maybe for economic reasons, people have to work to make a living. But if we do it in the same way as we did pre-COVID, we spent 6 months fighting the virus in vain.
People tend to forecast the trend of COVID transmission based on the stat chart. When the daily new case gets to a lower level, they cheer and vow for reopening.
But I hold a strong opinion that the visual trend on the chart is MEANINGLESS for forecast—for a virus-based pandemic, each day is DAY ONE. Whenever there is one active carrier on the street, the exponential growth could spark again.
So why California is so confident it’s the time to reopen? If they don’t care about the China experience, does it bother to take a look at Europe? Do Californians want to lock down again when the daily new case jumped to 25K?
A friend of mine’s parents who live in California were just diagnosed with COVID. I feel truly sad about it. And I genuinely hope the politician can prioritize people’s life and death beyond economic interest. Money only matters when people are living well!
Uncle Sam, please be consistent, please be resilient, please make prudent decisions for the sake of human life.
Postscript 01/07/2021
Credit: JHU Coronavirus Resource Center, 01/07/2021
Almost four months after the original post, California now books 40k new cases per day. 10x the level when they loosened the control.